Money Matters, Simplified.
This Could Destroy Your Retirement
After a few college economics courses, I simply chalked it up to stuff that grandparents say. Obviously, they just didn't understand the forces of inflation compounded over 40 years.
What a smart aleck
But after a recent trip to the grocery store, I caught myself sounding like my grandparents. "Four dollars for milk?" I lamented to my wife. "I remember when a gallon of milk cost $2! And that was just a few years ago."
Without getting into a complex macroeconomic analysis as to why milk prices have doubled in eight years (thanks, ethanol), my trip to the grocery was a valuable reminder of inflation's destructive power.
I don't even want to think about what a gallon of milk will cost when I retire. But I'm still going to want it on my cereal, so it's best to develop a plan now so I can still enjoy my Apple Jacks when I'm 70.
Affording $12 milk in 2040
According to The Economist, the average world inflation rate has risen to 5.5%. The U.S. is enjoying 3.9% inflation. In emerging markets like China and India, prices have risen 8% to 10% -- and those are the official statistics.
Try outpacing those rates with Treasury bills. At present, you'd actually be losing purchasing power by investing in most Treasuries.
When it comes to battling inflation, our only good defense is a good offense. That means keeping an appropriate allocation of your portfolio in equities, even well into retirement.
For example, the Vanguard Target Retirement Income Fund (VTINX) allocates a full 30% of its assets in equities using these funds:
| Fund | % of Fund Assets | Top Holdings |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Total Stock Market | 23.5% | Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO), Procter & Gamble, Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) |
| Vanguard European Stock Index | 3.4% | BP, HSBC (NYSE: HBC), Vodafone |
| Vanguard Pacific Stock Index | 1.5% | Toyota (NYSE: TM), Sony, BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP) |
| Vanguard Emerging Markets | 1.2% | ChinaMobil, Petrobras (NYSE: PBR), America Movil (NYSE: AMX) |
Sources: Vanguard and Yahoo! Finance.
It should be noted that this Vanguard fund is designed for investors currently in retirement. The further you are from your ideal retirement age, the greater the percentage of your portfolio that should be invested in equities.
Bring inflation to its knees
See, prices will continue to rise for the rest of our lives, and equities give us the best chance to not only keep up with inflation, but even stay ahead of it in order to increase our purchasing power down the road.
If you're not sure how to begin saving your retirement from inflation, our Motley Fool Rule Your Retirement service can help. In the most recent issue, for example, advisor Robert Brokamp discussed ways you can use different asset classes to improve your returns while reducing overall risk. This way, you not only battle inflation, but also sleep a bit easier at night.
Copyright © 2008 Universal Press Syndicate.