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Thursday Dec 13
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Dow 5,000?by Shannon Zimmerman - July 30, 2007 - 0 comments
Despite yesterday's sell-off, make no mistake: We've been coasting along quite nicely for quite some time now. Indeed, if the market resumes its upward trajectory, our current bull run will have its fifth birthday later this year. And while hitting Dow 14,000 last week was, admittedly, just an arbitrary milestone, it was still fun to observe, something akin to watching as your odometer flips over to a fresh set of zeroes. Even better, to the extent that the rise reflected investor optimism about corporate fundamentals and earnings -- as opposed to a top-down assessment of economic trends -- 14,000 was an arbitrary marker with investing substance behind it. Call it the best of both worlds. Alas, what goes up ... For an even more dramatic example, consider the meltdown that occurred in early 2000. As you may painfully recall, the market tumbled hard then -- and for quite a long while, too. Indeed, between March of that year and the close of 2002, the S&P-tracking SPDRs (SPY) declined by 33%. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 Trust (QQQQ), today known as the PowerShares QQQ , which counts Amgen (Nasdaq: AMGN), Gilead Sciences (Nasdaq: GILD), and Electronic Arts (Nasdaq: ERTS) among its top holdings -- shed some 77% of its value over the period. With those cautionary tales in mind, savvy investors should strive to fix their portfolios while bargains abound, in part by ensuring that their basket of investments is spread intelligently across the market's valuation spectrum. Buttoned-down "value" stocks, for example, tend to hold up better than growth-oriented fare during downturns. Case in point: During the period cited above, the Russell 1000 Value bogey -- which specializes in the likes of Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC), JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) and Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) -- declined by "just" 4.7%, while the S&P and Nasdaq 100 plunged into double-digit downward spirals. Things are looking up And that's true, by the way, of the overall Champion Funds track record. Not to brag or anything (OK, maybe just a little), but since opening for business more than three years ago, 94% of our recommendations have made money for shareholders, and taken collectively, our list o' picks is up on the market by a double-digit margin. The Foolish bottom line |
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