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Wednesday Sep 12
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Be Afraid of These Stocks. Be Very Afraid.by Shannon Zimmerman - July 22, 2007 - 0 comments
Riddle me this, savvy investor: When is good news actually bad? By way of an answer, consider the likes of Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), Costco , Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), and Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT). Each of these companies sports a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) exceeding that of the S&P 500. For the 12 months through Thursday's market close, though, they've all lagged the S&P in terms of stock price performance. The same is true of News Corp. (NYSE: NWS), Sysco (NYSE: SYY), and Seagate Technology (NYSE: STX). "/>Riddle me this, savvy investor: When is good news actually bad? By way of an answer, consider the likes of Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), Costco , Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), and Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT). Each of these companies sports a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) exceeding that of the S&P 500. For the 12 months through Thursday's market close, though, they've all lagged the S&P in terms of stock price performance. The same is true of News Corp. (NYSE: NWS), Sysco (NYSE: SYY), and Seagate Technology (NYSE: STX). So what, exactly, is the problem? Call it the rosy scenario syndrome: Analysts expect double-digit earnings growth for each of the aforementioned stocks over the next five years. Isn't that good news? Which isn't to say you shouldn't own them. Companies with juicy growth prospects are nothing to sneeze at, particularly if you've got a stomach for volatility. That said, even if you consider yourself a regular investing Evel Knievel, a smart way to snag the market's pricier prospects is through world-class mutual funds. You'll get the market-beating potential of growth stocks, along with a smartly constructed portfolio that should help tamp down wild performance swings. Two for the price of one 1. Strategic tenacity: With growth investing largely in the doldrums ever since the market melted down back in early 2000, I'm especially interested in growth funds with managers who have stuck to their guns during the downturn, snapping up the kinds of companies they like at substantial discounts to their earnings-growth potential. After all, investing in otherwise rock-solid companies when their area of the market has fallen from favor means managers are buying quality on the cheap. 2. Healthy skepticism: Managers who fall in love with a stock's "story" don't make the cut. When it comes to growth investing in particular, it's all too easy to become overly wowed and fall prey to "irrational exuberance." (See the late 1990s for the gory details.) With that in mind, I want growth managers to be as unemotional about their work as possible -- and to have defined sell criteria. Yes, we should all be inclined to let our winners run. We shouldn't, however, let them run away. 3. Intelligently placed bets: Risk is baked into growth investing, and because I want to beat the market and get a good night's rest, I favor managers who run intelligently diversified portfolios. I'm not averse to funds that pack considerable sums into individual names or certain areas of the market. At the same time, I wouldn't advise diving whole-hog into, say, a tech-sector fund, either. There are smarter ways of getting the growth job done. Speaking of which ... Click here to give Champion Funds a go, and remember: Even Evel Knievel eventually met his Snake River Canyon. If you'd like to avoid a similar fate as an investor, top-notch mutual funds make the ideal vehicle. |
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