For The Motley Fool's 2001 April Fool's joke, we explained that:
[T]he Human Genome Project discovered and isolated a
DNA sequence that enhances financially related skills, specifically
investing. According to scientists, your chances of being an
above-average investor are miniscule if you don't have the "Investor
Gene." The study -- a sampling of 1,000 subjects -- reveals that only
one person in 10 has the Investor Gene.
We had illustrations of "Felix the Helix" explaining how DNA works,
and we offered a free test, too, that used data about your nose shape
and the oiliness of your skin to determine whether you had the gene. So
when I read the following news item, my jaw dropped.
Three business professors have released a study finding, in the words of its abstract, that:
[U]p to 45% of the variation in stock market
participation, asset allocation, and portfolio risk choices is
explained by a genetic component. Genetic variation is a very important
explanation for variation in investment behavior compared to the
influence of education, net worth, entrepreneurial activity, and other
factors studied in existing work. ... Finally, we find that twins who
were reared apart still have similar portfolios.
Are you doomed?
Thus, logic would dictate that some of us lack the right genes for investing. But fortunately, all is not lost.
As we age, the experiences we gain and the people with whom we
interact significantly influence our investing. In addition, the
genetic contribution seems to be no more than half of any investor's
total prowess; at least half of our fiscal skill, therefore, can be
explained by what we learn throughout our lives, among other factors.
To make sure your experience makes the biggest possible contribution
to your investing success, you should learn as much as possible, and
implement the best advice you find.
In particular, learn from those who are good at investing. If there's an investor gene, I'll bet Warren Buffett has it. And how does he invest? He looks for companies within his circle of competence. He seeks a margin of safety by aiming to buy companies at good or bargain prices. This method has led him to many big dividend-paying companies, including Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP), and Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ).
But you don't simply have to mimic Buffett's picks to be a
successful value investor. For instance, if you look for stocks selling
at reasonable valuations, but which have posted some solid growth in
recent years despite the impact of the recession, you'll find plenty of
stocks that Buffett doesn't own. A quick screen found some interesting
candidates, including the following:
|
Company
|
P/E Ratio
|
3-Year Revenue Growth Rate
|
Expected 5-Year Future Earnings Growth Rate
|
|
XTOEnergy (NYSE: XTO)
|
13.3
|
23%
|
4%
|
|
Fluor (NYSE: FLR)
|
10.8
|
17%
|
11%
|
|
Coventry Health Care (NYSE: CVH)
|
15.1
|
19%
|
7%
|
|
Sasol (NYSE: SSL)
|
12.8
|
29%
|
15%
|
Data: Yahoo! Finance.
Obviously, that's just a starting point, though. You should do a lot
more research before you buy a stock, looking at many more financial
numbers to find out how healthy the company is, and how attractive its
price is.
Last but not least, if you happen to have a twin sibling, take a
look at his or her portfolio, too. If it's growing briskly, maybe
that'll bode well for your prospects!
© 2009 UCLICK L.L.C.
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