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1-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Vornado?



Based on the aggregated intelligence of 140,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, office REIT Vornado Realty Trust (NYSE: VNO) has received the dreaded one-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Vornado's business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Vornado facts

Headquarters

New York City

Market Cap

$12.2 billion

Industry

REIT

Trailing-12-Month Revenue

$2.64 billion

Management

CEO Michael Fascitelli
CFO Joseph Macnow

Return on Capital (Average, Past 3 Years)

2.7%

Cash / Debt

$2.56 billion / $12.73 billion

1-Year Return

30%

Competitors

Boston Properties (NYSE: BXP)
Brookfield Properties

CAPS Members Bearish on VNO Also Bearish on

Simon Property Group (NYSE: SPG)
Citigroup (NYSE: C)
Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS)

CAPS Members Bullish on VNO Also Bullish on

General Electric (NYSE: GE)
Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL)

Sources: Capital IQ (a division of Standard & Poor's) and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 58% of the 407 members who have rated Vornado believe the
stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bears
include JohnMcCloy and All-Star buccayew, who is ranked in the top 2% of our community.

Less than two months ago, JohnMcCloy warned Fools to stay off Vornado's property:

Incredible cash burn. [Vornado] was just paying
[dividends] in stock … diluting. Manhattan real estate is about to have
the worst 2 years in its history. I work in Manhattan real estate and I
still see the same vacant Vornado spaces I saw 2 years ago. They own
33% of Toys "R" Us. This will end badly.

In a reply pitch from just last week, buccayew expands on commercial REITs as a dangerous way to generate income:

Yeah, commercial real estate trusts are at the
brink. What's crazy is everyone knows it and the accounting standards
allow them to act like "no problem, we'll pay dividends anyway." And
people are buying them thinking, "as long as no one acknowledges the
asset devaluation, we will just breeze along". Wow. The Madoff ponzi
scheme is nothing close to the coming REIT debacle.

© 2009 UCLICK L.L.C.

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