Taking the market's temperature
But Motley Fool CAPS' proprietary ratings, aggregated from the opinions and accuracy of 140,000-plus members, offer a great way to monitor investor sentiment. Following a CAPS rating trend
can help us determine the best time to invest. Let's look at previously
rated one- or two-star companies that have recently enjoyed a bump up
to see whether they're truly heating up -- or headed back to the deep
freeze.
|
Company
|
CAPS Rating
(out of 5)
|
Recent Price
|
EPS Estimates (This Year-Next Year)
|
|
Canadian Solar (Nasdaq: CSIQ)
|
***
|
$16.21
|
$1.38 - $1.54
|
|
First Industrial Realty Trust (NYSE: FR)
|
***
|
$5.12
|
$1.62 - $0.88
|
|
Keryx Biopharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: KERX)
|
***
|
$2.16
|
($0.03) - ($0.33)
|
|
LTX-Credence (Nasdaq: LTXC)
|
***
|
$1.53
|
$0.04 - $0.25
|
|
Rodman & Renshaw Capital Group (Nasdaq: RODM)
|
****
|
$5.13
|
$0.51 - $0.42
|
Source: Motley Fool CAPS; NA=not available.
Obviously, this is not a list of stocks to buy -- just a starting
point for further research. Yet if some investors are taking notice of
these stocks, maybe we should, too.
Caution: Contents may be hot
Keryx Biopharmaceuticals has been on a roll. It recently received word that the Food and Drug Administration had granted its multiple myeloma therapy orphan drug status and it will start late-stage trials on the treatment for tumors in bone marrow by the end of the year.
It also said that its hyperphosphatemia treatment Zerenex showed
high tolerance and safety in a mid-stage study of long-term use in
patients with chronic kidney failure. Hyperphosphatemia is dangerously
high levels of phosphate in the blood. According to the U.S. Renal Data
System, America has nearly 527,000 such patients, many of whom
routinely require dialysis for their condition, such as that provided
by DaVita (NYSE: DVA) in one of its many dialysis centers.
While shares of Keryx have rallied a lot
over the past year, it still has a long way to go before it fully
recovers from how it dropped last year when a late-stage trial of its
diabetic nephropathy drug Sulonex failed.
Yet CAPS member rachisme73 says that until Sulonex, Keryx was an otherwise solid performer, and with two drugs in late-stage trials, it holds promise. Similarly, kingleader figures that if Keryx is able to report any good news on those trials, the stock will soar.
Red hot or ice cold?
Investment banker Rodman & Renshaw has chosen to play in the biotech sector at a particularly opportune time,
underwriting some of the top biotech names, and Keryx's own recent $20
million offering. Yet its own shares took a hit when it filed for a
mixed offering of $75 million that included its CEO and its chief
investment banker selling up to 3 million of their own shares.
No doubt, the big gains the stock realized over the past six months
led to the decision to sell, but those gains came because the bank
completed 32 financing transactions, raising $634.7 million, in the
third quarter, including ones by Spectrum Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: SPPI) and Cell Therapeutics. The numbers were well ahead of the 25 financing transactions Rodman & Renshaw closed in the second quarter.
CAPS member dwl2693 says Rodman & Renshaw will reap rewards.
The development of new technology and
phramaceuticals in the biotech field will bring great rewards going
forward if [you're] in early. Based on projections of new drugs to come
to market and the need for better technology to assist this market will
bring a win[d]fall for investors.
© 2009 UCLICK, L.L.C.
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