Watch or you might miss it
Even though
workers are slated to start receiving stimulus money as early as later
this month, you might not even notice the stimulus when you start
getting it. Rather than a big check for $600, $1,200, or more like you
got in 2008, the government isn't making lump-sum stimulus payments
this time around. Instead, you'll see a small reduction
in the taxes withheld from your paycheck -- an average of $10 to $15
per week for single taxpayers, and around $15 to $20 for couples.
Now you might think that even at the upper end of that range, $20
isn't going to go too far. But given enough time, you can turn that $20
into a whole lot more -- and learn a lot about investing in the process.
Where to find explosive returns
Now
don't get me wrong: It won't be an easy trip. At first glance, you
might think the math would make it impossible: $1 million divided by
$20 per week equals 50,000 weeks, or just a few decades shy of 1,000
years.
But that's where the magic of compound returns again rears its head. Find an investment with good enough returns, and you'll be on the path to millionaire status long before people start partying like it's 2999.
Still, even with compounding helping you, you've got a tough task.
Depending on how much time you have to invest, here's the returns you'd
need to earn on average to reach the million-dollar mark from a weekly
$20 investment:
|
Time to Invest
|
Average Annual Return Needed
|
|
20 years
|
28%
|
|
25 years
|
21%
|
|
30 years
|
17%
|
|
35 years
|
14%
|
|
40 years
|
12%
|
That's a tall order in any market; especially after the losses
you've seen lately, you might think it's well-nigh impossible to reach
your goals.
Enter small-cap stocks
Sure, it's a bit
crazy to think that you could turn $20 a week into $1 million with
anything less than perfect investments. If you stick with
well-established S&P 500 large-cap stocks with market caps of $25
billion or more, you'll need some luck:
|
Stock
|
10-Year Average Return
|
|
Gilead Sciences (Nasdaq: GILD)
|
32.3%
|
|
Apple
|
27.8%
|
|
Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY)
|
23.3%
|
|
Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM)
|
17.1%
|
|
Altria (NYSE: MO)
|
13.0%
|
Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard and Poor's; returns for 10 years ended March 31, 2009.
As you can see, a few stocks have produced great returns in the last
decade. But nearly half those $25 billion-plus companies have actually lost money since 1999.
But there's a much more promising area to find stocks that could
potentially produce the 12%, 14%, or even 17% long-term returns that
you'd need to create a million from a 20-spot. You'll find those
opportunities among small companies. Consider:
- Small caps have room to grow and outperform their larger competitors.
- Small caps don't have a Wall Street following that tends to inflate prices.
- Small caps can act quickly to take advantage of changing economic conditions.
Even just looking at the smaller companies in the S&P 500 --
companies that until recently were small caps -- tells you just how
much more potential these stocks have:
|
Stock
|
10-Year Average Return
|
|
Southwestern Energy (NYSE: SWN)
|
43.2%
|
|
Celgene (Nasdaq: CELG)
|
42.3%
|
|
XTO Energy (NYSE: XTO)
|
40.4%
|
|
Range Resources
|
35.1%
|
|
Cognizant Technology
|
34.7%
|
Make a million
Of course, there's no
guarantee that even small-cap stocks will produce high enough returns
to turn $20 into $1 million over time. You'd certainly need a much
better market than you've seen in recent months.
But with a healthy number of strong small caps holding up even in
this bear market, they're definitely worth using to take a fair shot at
becoming a millionaire. Even if you fall short, you'll almost certainly
end up with a lot more than $20.
Copyright © 2009 Universal Press Syndicate.
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