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Don't Cut This Dividend!by James Early - April 20, 2008 - 0 comments
From 1972 to 2006, Ned Davis Research found that S&P 500 dividend stocks beat index nonpayers by six percentage points annually. Moreover, ING Investment Management noted that dividends constitute a third of all S&P 500 gains since 1926. More amazingly, from 1985-2000 -- the technological wonder years -- the performance advantage of dividend-paying stocks actually widened! Dividend and conquer But dividends aren't perfect. If you want to feel like an investing loser, buy a stock shortly before it cuts its dividend. For instance, following "restructuring" in 2001, Xerox surprised investors by eliminating its payout -- not what shareholders had come to expect from a onetime stalwart. To be fair, Xerox didn't want to be another Woolworth -- an erstwhile iconic brand (Woolworth headquarters was once the world's tallest building) -- that doggedly paid out everything it had to maintain its dividend. Also, Woolworth eventually went under, while Xerox recently restarted its dividend program. Still, if you build a proper dividend fortress, you don't have to worry about dividend cuts -- ever. You don't have to lie there, helpless
(Wall) Street smarts To quickly find stocks that may be on thin payout ice, look at the "payout ratio" -- dividends paid as a percentage of earnings. For Income Investor, I take that metric a step further, because accounting standards have made "earnings" a fuzzy little number. That's why I prefer to compare dividends paid to free cash flow. To find you some interesting dividend stocks -- approaching the kind of stocks I seek out for Income Investor subscribers -- I used Capital IQ, an institutional software package, and screened for stocks with ample free cash flow in proportion to their dividends. Here are the results:
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